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News & Data

Weather risk, energy prices and the daily palm oil news — all in one place.

Weather & ENSO

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ENSOEl NiñoONI +1.4°C
RegionNext 7dPast 30dStatus
Peninsular Malaysia41 mm266 mmNormal
Sabah41 mm123 mmNormal
Sarawak14 mm78 mmDry
Sumatra/Riau31 mm136 mmNormal
Kalimantan0 mm15 mmDry

Next 7d is forecast (MET Norway); past 30d is observed (NASA POWER, ~2-day lag). Status reflects the 7-day outlook.

Energy Desk

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Brent crude$91.39 / bbl
last session 0.80%
7 days 4.09%
15 days 1.46%
30 days 0.80%
trending downas of Aug 25, 2026
$69Brent, past 3 months$105

Crude is trending lower across both the week and the month. Softer crude weakens biodiesel economics, easing the demand support under palm.

Latest news & briefs

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Aug 05, 2026

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia's CPO Export Levy and Duty: How BPDPKS and Reference Price Shape Buyer Costs

A procurement-focused explainer on how Indonesia's export levy and duty tiers interact with the reference price to affect landed costs.

Demand watch

India Demand Watch: Festive Imports Surge, Duty Debate Simmers

India's edible oil imports hit a 10-month peak in July; duty flexibility and Nepal tariff loopholes shape palm demand outlook.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia's B50 rollout and India import scrutiny reshape palm oil demand outlook

Pertamina's nationwide B50 launch and Indian calls to curb Nepal duty-free imports signal shifting policy winds for palm oil buyers.

Market brief

Palm Oil Steady as Stocks, Weather and Energy Weigh on Outlook

Malaysian CPO holds near $1,100/MT as rising stocks and dry weather offset firm India demand and crude rebound.

Market brief

Indonesia B50 Rollout, India Demand Shift Reshape Palm Oil Outlook

Nationwide B50 distribution and RBI-linked edible oil price rises mark a policy-driven demand shift for palm buyers.

Market brief

Palm Oil Prices Stagnate as Robust Indian Demand Fails to Offset Bearish Supply and Macro

Malaysian CPO futures held near $1,100/MT amid a tug-of-war between surging Indian imports and mounting pressure from peak production, a weak rupiah, and slumping crude oil, leavin

Sustainability

Understanding RSPO Premiums: Mass Balance vs. Segregated Palm Oil in Practice

A practical guide for procurement managers on what sustainable premiums cover and how MB and SG supply chains differ operationally.

Aug 04, 2026

Market brief

Indonesia Sets August CPO Reference Price at $996.52/MT, Affecting Export Levies

New reference price for August set at $996.52 per ton; level influences export taxes and trade flows for palm oil buyers.

Palm oil facts

West Africa's Ancient Palm Oil: Archaeological Roots of a Global Industry

Long before global trade, oil palm shaped West African diets and rituals—evidence spans millennia.

Market data

The biodiesel demand wedge: palm oil's fuel-vs-food split and what mandates could still ad

Peak supply meets softer crude, but structural biofuel mandates keep a floor under palm prices.

Policy & energy watch

How MPOB Shapes Palm Oil Markets: Regulation, Licensing, and Price-Setting Data

A trader's guide to Malaysia's palm oil regulator: what it controls, how licensing works, and why its monthly stats move global prices.

Compliance

EUDR Explained: Who It Binds, Due Diligence, Geolocation, Timeline

How the EU deforestation regulation works for palm oil importers, exporters, and traders.

Products explained

Palm Kernel Oil vs Palm Oil: Fatty-Acid Profiles and Uses Explained

How the kernel's lauric profile differs from palm mesocarp oil and what that means for refiners and buyers.

Market brief

Palm oil prices steady as balanced forces vie for direction

Benchmark Malaysian CPO holds at $1,100/MT, with bullish BOPO spread and El Niño signals offset by rising stocks and crude oil weakness.

Weather & crops

El Niño Lingers Over Palm Belt as Dry Spell Hits Key Growing Regions

Dry conditions in Sarawak, Sumatra and Kalimantan raise yield concerns despite peak-season output gains.

Policy & energy watch

B50 rollout, Indian import scrutiny shape palm oil policy watch

Indonesia's B50 mandate and India's duty-free import concerns frame demand and trade flows.

Aug 03, 2026

Compliance

China's Edible Oil Import Rules: Food-Safety and Labelling Compliance

How China's food-safety and labelling standards for imported edible oils are structured, and what exporters must do to comply.

Products explained

POME Research: Biogas Capture, Methane Avoidance and the Evidence Gap

What studies show on palm oil mill effluent emissions reduction — and where the evidence is still contested.

Compliance

How India's Edible Oil Import Duties Stack: BCD, Cess and Surcharge

Understand the layered structure of India's import duties on edible oils and why the effective rate often exceeds the headline tariff.

Weather & crops

El Niño Lingers Over Palm Belt; Dry Sarawak, Kalimantan Cloud Yield Outlook

Dry conditions persist in key Indonesian and Malaysian zones as El Niño's lagged impact on fruit bunch weights meets near-term harvest disruption risks.

Market brief

Pertamina Launches Nationwide B50 Distribution, Cementing Indonesia's Biodiesel Rollout

State energy firm Pertamina begins nationwide B50 biodiesel distribution, confirming Indonesia's mandate is now operational and underpinning palm oil demand.

Market brief

Palm Oil Edges Lower as Bearish Headwinds Outweigh Bullish Demand Signals

Malaysian CPO benchmark slips to $1,101/MT, with peak production, rupiah weakness and softer crude capping gains despite BOPO-driven demand and Indian festival buying.

Policy & energy watch

B50 rollout, oil price slide reshape palm policy calculus

Indonesia's B50 launch and crude weakness test biodiesel economics as buyers weigh compliance risks

Market brief

Palm Oil Holds Near $1,100 as El Niño, Biodiesel, and India Demand Shape Market

Malaysian CPO steadies around $1,101/MT; MPOB data shows higher production and stocks, while El Niño and B50 support prices.

Weather: NOAA CPC (ENSO) & MET Norway (rainfall). Energy: EIA via FRED. News is AI-assisted analysis with sources linked — information only, not advice. Data credits.

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